Definition
The strategic period, typically 6-18 months after a major model release,
when individual investment in learning is highest-leverage. During this
window, the model's capabilities are fixed (Cathedral Clock has
stopped), but societal best practices are fluid (Bazaar Clock is early).
Individuals who master the tools during this window establish "Skill
Alpha." Before this window, the tools are too unstable; after it, they
are commodified.
Strategic Timing
Don't be the first to adopt (you will be debugging the system for
free). Don't be the last (you will be competing with standardized
playbooks). Be in the second wave, where the "Capability-Mastery Gap"
is closing but not closed.
Field Notes & Ephemera
Field Note: The best time to plant a tree was twenty
years ago. The best time to learn prompt engineering is six months
after the model dropped.